I'm sorry, but this isn't just lopsided, it's Luxembourg attacking Germany.
Yes, I have to agree with Thiel on that. Very nicely made, but the force imbalance between the sides is too large to be reasonable (unless You change who's the aggressor
).
You've mentioned Israel being outnumbered by it's opponents. Well, yes, but it's mostly about being outnumbered in population (currently populations of Egypt, Syria, Jordan, Lebanon and Palestine outnumber Israeli population about 15 to 1). In terms of active armed forces strength and especially main categories of equipment (armor, combat aircraft), except for 1948, these differences were much smaller.
In 1990 these countries had:
-Israel: 4288 tanks, 1395 guns/howitzers 100mm+, some 200 (?) MRLs, 678 combat aircraft (incl. stored)
-Egypt: 3190 tanks, some 1300 guns/howitzers 100mm+, 300 MRLs, some 560 combat aircraft (incl. armed trainers),
-Syria: 4000 tanks, some 2200 guns/howitzers 100mm+, 250 MRLs, some 564 combat aircraft (incl. armed trainers),
-Jordan: 1131 tanks, 326 guns/howitzers 100mm+, 104 combat aircraft,
-Lebanon: some 230 tanks, some 110 guns 100mm+, some MRLs, some 10 combat aircraft (practically unserviceable)
(Data from The Military Balance 1990-1991)
So it's 1,994:1 in tanks, 2,825:1 in artillery and 1,826:1 in combat aircraft.
Also, there is a general rule that in the absence of some drastic technological disparity (or some similar factors), it can be reasonably expected that attacking force should be about 3 times stronger than the defenders in order to succeed.
And here You have Colombia, whose total forces strength we don't know, only the local strength, but whose Air Force You said has some 130 (85 in first version) combat/combat capable aircraft - against Venezuela with grand total of ca. 1060 combat and combat-capable training aircraft (total disparity of 8,15 to 1!).
So ok, Colombia wanted to get Venezuela off guard, or in other words: achieve strategic and tactical surprise. Ok, good idea, and what was their idea for Day Two of war (which would simply
have to be lost)?
But except for that "detail", it's a very interesting, well drawn thread, keep it up.