General Antonio Luna’s side story:
This Filipino hero, and whatever you may think of him as a faux would-be Spanish grandee in the Philippines setting, an errant womanizer, a fraud, an embezzler, an outright chicane and all around poseur, (in all the meanings as the Spanish, the French, the Belgians, and finally the Americans come to know him), he is a genuine hero in the true sense of the word. He comes from a gifted family of sons which produces a lawyer, a doctor and him; the best of the excellent lot. He chooses a career as a cross between a pharmacist, an apothecary and a chemist. And he is good at it, sufficiently so to become a fellow at the Pasteur Institute. He is an inspired new man, an Illustrado (Filipino intellectual) of the first rank. He contributes to La Solidaridad and is a ringleader of the Propaganda Movement and later he tries out to become a soldier, studying under the Belgian tactician [later General] Gérard Leman who will conduct the defense of Liege against the Germans during the First World War. Luna will discover that an enemy who knows how to break siege lines will break them easily just as Leman will fifteen years later. In the case of the Germans; Otto von Emich and Erich Ludendorff needed 30,000 Germans, 5 days and 140 siege mortars and field guns to overcome about 28,000 Belgians in their forts. It takes Anderson, Otis and MacArthur with their regiments about two hours, with the guns of Dewey’s fleet, in support to break Luna’s lines around south Manila. That is hardly a fair comparison, one might say. Leman had 240 guns and those 28,000 trained reasonably armed European troops. He is not fighting the best Germans to be sure. Still the comparison to Luna is unfair.
Is it? Those trenches are manned by about 9000 Filipino Katipunan bolo men in well-made trench works that astonish the Americans who storm them. MacArthur, Anderson and Otis have mostly National Guard troops, about 5,000 men between them in their assault units. Never seen a battle in their lives, have most of them. Antonio Luna along his front (the Zapote line a lot of it), has made sure that he follows the best French and Spanish practice as he picks fortifiable ground. And he does have enough captured and looted ordnance from the Spanish elsewhere in the Philippines (Mainly Pangasinan Province) to make a bloody fight of it, if his men will stand their ground. That is the real time line.
How does it happen in the RTL that the smoldering Siege of Manila is so easily lifted? Well… Arthur MacArthur has seen this elephant before, as a young subaltern in George Thomas’ Army 1864. Missionary Ridge, Chattanooga, Tennessee is where. Another enemy has then misread a patch of ground, places his trenches and artillery in the wrong spots, has posted green troops and assigns
incompetent amateur officers (Jackson and Stevens for Bragg, del Pilar for Luna) to hold it, and assumes things will be all right, because nobody would be stupid enough to attack uphill against such formidable heights or across such uncrossable ground. Luna is no Braxton Bragg, but the same ingredients for a disaster are present opposite at Blockhouses 6 and 7 in the RTL. And the Americans want to force the issue. MacArthur gets together with Generals Otis and Anderson. He, too, is tired of Filipinos sniping at his troops from those trenches.
Why is Luna egging the Americans on? He has to know that sooner or later, the raids, ambushes and the sniping at American patrols will bring on general battle. The explanation is simple. The Americans, 30 days away in San Francisco, arrive in shuttle convoys, two regiments at a time like clockwork every two weeks and in the ten months that Aguinaldo has fiddled around in negotiating with Dewey, Merritt, and now MacArthur; 25,000 of them or about 18 regiments, the whole of 8th Corps and elements of 9th Corps are in the Philippines, some 18,000 in and around Manila, alone.
Even if there are 40,000 men in the Philippine Army of Liberation as claimed, that is not going to be enough for what is coming. Luna has been trying to force Aguinaldo’s hand, and now he has done it.
A Private Grayson, an Englishman, with the usual 19th century one step ahead of the constable baggage, who for reasons (ahem) of his own, enlists in the 1st Nebraska Volunteers, is the spark. One does not know why Grayson does it, but when on patrol outside Blockhouse 7 of the Zapote Line, ostensibly as part of a measure to guard the west end of the San Juan Bridge leading into Manila, the 3 man squad of which he is a member; that patrol challenges a Filipino 4 man patrol rousting around the countryside with much the same orders as they have; only for the east end. Check and validate entries into and out of a controlled area. There is immediately an argument between the two squads about an American strongpoint and camp in the nearby village of Santa Mesa where the 1st Nebraska Volunteers has bivouacked a few units. Now this is not new. Arguments have been going on since June (RTL) about American troops holding this bridge and occupying that village. Sniping and night ambushes of American patrols have been routine from the Filipino side of the no man's land. Colonel Stotsenberg of the 1st Nebraska finally tells his line officer of this sector to defend Santa Mesa and the bridge nearby against all comers. That man details that order to the American patrols he sends out. So once again an argument breaks out, over whom controls the area. NCOs and junior officers cannot settle it this time over rum, so runners are sent for senior officers, and the two squads face off rifles at the ready.
Something happens or maybe it is pre-arranged with this patrol this time, but whatever it is, Grayson suddenly takes it upon himself to act without orders. He shoots at a Filipino soldier, who he claims threatens him with his rifle.
And that starts both immediate lines shooting at each other. Senior officers on the Filipino side, especially Aguinaldo, but significantly not Luna, send emissaries to the scene to arrange a cease fire and a truce with the Americans. There is a parley in which General Otis essentially tells Aguinaldo’s emissary that hostilities once commenced are not going to be curtailed. “Let it play out.” Otis says.
Yeah. Luna is a better general than Aguinaldo, but a worse politician. Aguinaldo plays the long game. He seeks to use American politics against itself. The US Senate has just shelved the Treaty of Paris, because the anti-imperialism faction of the Democratic Party won a floor fight with the help of some pacifist Republicans. It looks like the treaty may be rejected.
And then Dewey sends word (not MacArthur, DEWEY), that the Philippine Army of Liberation has attacked their American “allies”. This rodent stinks among those who know; even back in 1899, but the popular press runs with the news, McKinley decides to “Let it play out.” in his fashion. And the conquest war is on.
Part of that conquest war is the Battle of Manila in 1899. Dewey in agreement with the Spaniards does not shell into Manila, even during the sham battle that happens August 16, 1899 to take it over from Jaudenes who sells his command out to the Americans. This time on the 4th and 5th of February 1899, the navy, in accordance with American army planning, fires over the city to just beyond into the Zapote line and the Americans attack in a full scale assault on a 20 kilometer front.
This shocks the Filipinos, even Luna, who are used to the Spaniards retreating into fortified posts and beating off Filipino attacks and incidents with a shrug of the shoulders. That is the way it has been done for 300 years in the Philippine Islands.
Local Filipino success occurs where a Luna trained battalion, on their own initiative, overruns a surprised US artillery position further up the line and captures a gun section (3rd US Artillery had to run for it after beating off the first human wave charge, when their support infantry runs to the rear. Boy does that raise a stink when MacArthur gets wind of it.), before the Americans counterattack and massacre them in a reverse rout. MacArthur more or less runs his battle, otherwise, as a tabletop exercise, aiming for the San Mesa Ridge, the Chinese Hospital and the La Loma cemetery. General Anderson to the south attacks in three columns (typical American cavalry tactic, also very un-Spanish), and catches General Pio del Pilar with his pants down (literally, he is caught en flagrante delecto by the messenger with the news that the Americans are attacking.). This is the incompetent that General Luna thinks can hold the lines he lays out and designs for the south? Anderson’s battalions rout the Filipino troops with the aid of that naval gunfire Dewey supplies in full measure. Most of del Pilar’s men have to cross the Pasig River to escape. Many Filipinos drown or are shot while they swim for it.
Otis' men just bulldoze ahead and chase off the Filipinos in front of them. Otis is not subtle like MacArthur or dashing like Anderson.
The Americans estimate they kill about 300 and wound twice as many in the battle. They underplay the casualties, one suspects, to not look like the butchers they are, even to their own jingoistic press. They take maybe 300 prisoners. It is an easy success for them all along that 20 kilometer line. That is the RTL result. It is this disaster that along with Luna's siphoning monies out of the Katipunan Movement treasury to maintain his mistress and some other shenanigans which involve fellow Filipino officers (and in one case one officer's wife), that finally compels Aguinaldo to have his best general killed in an outright assassination.
The result of the Luna assassination is predictable. Kill George Washington and the American Revolution disintegrates into splintered factions which can be stomped out, one faction at a time. The Americans, at least their military men, know this certainty from their own history. With Luna gone, the Philippine army disintegrates into tribalism and warlordism. The Americans are very good at fighting "Indians", tribe by tribe.
General Otis says it again; "Aguinaldo has killed his only general. Let it play out. We have them."
In the AU, all of this actually turns out much worse because the Filipinos are about to pay for Luna's mistakes compounded in synchronized time with von Dederich's own gross blundering.
What does one mean? Aguinaldo according to the evidence is always a good politician thwarted by bad advice and poor timing. It almost blows up in his face the first time, when the Americans catch Filipino and German emissaries talking to each other. Aguinaldo weasels his way out of that one by disavowing the Filipinos involved, and of course von Dederichs (one suspects he lies about it), claims as one military man to another to Dewey (before the Irene Incident shows his true intents.); "I know nothing about it. They are German adventurers who have no official standing in the Kaiser's service."
Hah. Dewey bides his time. In the RTL he runs his own bluff and wins and thereby saves inadvertently Aguinaldo, but in this AU timeline, Dewey has better options than bluff. Remember the Ramsey expeditions, both RTL (Guam, Wake, Hawaii) and in the AU, (I added a few)? That is not all our energetic able Admiral Ramsey is doing in this AU. And there is General Merritt ne MacArthur. With things happening in August in this AU, instead of May, the Americans have more time, better plans and in this AU, a few technical surprises for both von Dederichs, Luna, and the hapless unfortunate Aguinaldo.
See what happens next.
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